Executive summary - long descriptions
Chart 1
Chart 1: Historical and forecast losses and funding requirement. On the horizontal axis the unit of measurement is financial years, from 1999/00 to 2010/11. On the vertical axis the unit of measurement is £m, from £80m to £160m. The chart also contains a curve to show the DWP grant over the same period. The chart shows that Remploy's loss before any grant income from DWP has risen from £103.5m in 1999/2000 to £129.4m in 2005/06. Over the same period actual grant funding has risen from £95.7m to £119.3m. The chart shows that Remploy's loss could rise from £134.3m in 2006/07 to £149.9m in 2010/11 and that the DWP grant would therefore need to rise accordingly to £155.1m by 2010/11 to cover that loss. A second line indicates the £111m funding envelope.
Chart 2
Chart 2: the scenario continuum. This chart places each scenario as an arrow on a bar. It compares the proportion of factories versus Interwork services in each scenario. There are four scenarios spaced at equal distance along the bar. Scenario 1 shows a large proportion of factories and little Interwork. At the other end of the scale scenario 4 shows a large proportion of Interwork services and few factories. Scenario 2 has slightly more factories than Interwork services and scenario 3 slightly more Interwork than factories.
Table 1
Table 1: summary of scenarios. The base funding estimate for scenario 1 is £735m and the sensitised funding estimate is £770 - 790m. Over 5 years the average number of disabled people supported into employment would be less than 2000 and in year 5 the number of people supported into employment would be less than 100. This scenario does not meet the funding or people criteria, but has low delivery risks. The base funding estimate for scenario 2 is £595m and the sensitised funding estimate is £640 - 670m. Over 5 years the average number of disabled people supported into employment would be more than 7000 and in year 5 the number of people supported into employment would be more than 15,000. This scenario does not meet the funding criteria, does meet the people criteria, but has very high delivery risks.The base funding estimate for scenario 3 is £565m and the sensitised funding estimate is £580 - 610m. Over 5 years the average number of disabled people supported into employment would be more than 8000 and in year 5 the number of people supported into employment would be more than 16000. This scenario partially meets the funding criteria, meets the people criteria, but has very high delivery risks. The base funding estimate for scenario 4 is £481m and the sensitised funding estimate is £500 - 520m. Over 5 years the average number of disabled people supported into employment would be more than 8000 and in year 5 the number of people supported into employment would be more than 18000. This scenario meets both the funding and people criteria and has medium delivery risks.